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rob_enderle
Contributor

Human digital twins and evolution: The real Westworld?

opinion
Jun 24, 20225 mins
RoboticsTechnology IndustryVirtual Reality

At the moment, digital twins are rudimentary and limited. But as they evolve, could we wind up with Westworld-type twins that could be a boon to productivity?

Last week, I wrote about a new company — Merlynn — that’s selling a rudimentary human digital twin tool. I’ve been thinking about digital twins ever since — and about how a tool like this could become the next killer productivity application.

When tools that enhance an experience are initially created, they tend to emulate what came before. The first cars looked like horse-drawn carriages without the horses and were even called horseless carriages. Cars evolved and no longer look at all like those early examples. I expect digital twins to evolve, too, into something very different than they seem to be today. 

Let’s think about how human digital twins are likely to evolve and how  HBO’s dystopian “Westworld” might prove to be prophetic. (Season 4 of the show premiers tomorrow.)

The evolution of a human digital twin

Right now, there’s a lot of controversy about a Google researcher who said he believed the latest Google Conversational AI has achieved sentience. While I doubt it, I question whether it even matters. If we believe something is sentient and it acts sentient, then maybe we should treat it as if it is sentient — if only to optimize the interaction. “Westworld” features robots that emulate (and behave like) people and animals. And if humans forget to take them as seriously as they do living things, they robots tend to end up just as dead (though they can be re-created). 

The expected endpoint for the evolution of a human digital twin would be a full-on, indistinguishable copy of a human with all the skills (and nearly all the memories and personality traits that can be conveyed through observation and direct data input). They will be digital constructs with unique advantages and disadvantages over the human they copied.

The disadvantages include the fact that, at least initially, they can only exist in the metaverse. The advantages will be they don’t have human frailties, unless they’re programmed for them. They don’t need sleep, can be trained at computer speeds, can seriously multi-task (given they are a computerized construct), can turn emotions on and off, and they only require energy and a digital world in which to operate.

They don’t get sick or tired. They don’t get angry or violent. They don’t need money, so they don’t need raises. Problems like mental health issues or poor impulse control can be identified and programmed out, so they won’t need a psychiatrist.

Now, imagine an entire department of you. Each of your human digital twins receives digital training for its position, and your job becomes managing them, giving you a major increase in productivity. For instance, rather than 30 accountants, maybe the company has one that comes with 29 human digital twins. Or a CMO could have digital twins that had the CMO’s skills but pulled background from China, the EU, and other parts of the world, providing distributed marketing experts who could be effective in any remote location. This virtual team would not only be useful in homologating a campaign in different geographies, but could consistently convey the need for product changes to better fit remote markets.

The end game

While human digital twins will initially supplement workers, over time, the companies providing these tools will likely realize that this concept can do more to extend skills into completely different areas. (The human digital twins can be replicated and programmed to use training sets from other people.) It will eventually be possible to create companies fully staffed by human digital twins all based off a single founder or overachieving employee. 

And this might not be relegated to just one company. For instance, think how valuable human digital twins of Bill Gates or Elon Musk could be, or human digital twins of any leading computer scientist or especially a computer scientist that was also an MD? The ability to mix and match skill sets could lead to a unique blend of skills and an equally unique offering for a new market. And as we explore outer space, wouldn’t it be safer to supplement or even replace astronauts with digital twins that could be instantly trained on skills needed for Mars colonies?

Finally, couldn’t your digital twin just take direction and then fill out a form, write a report, or even a book based on ideas that you had — without you having to do more than come up with an initial outline?

I don’t think we’ve even begun to consider what the future for human digital twins could be, but to call them disruptive would be an understatement. They could go so far beyond the concept of a “killer app” that they’ll forever change and advance the very concept.  And this is only the tip of this iceberg

rob_enderle
Contributor

Rob Enderle is president and principal analyst of the Enderle Group, a forward looking emerging technology advisory firm. With more than 25 years’ experience in emerging technologies, he provides regional and global companies with guidance in how to better target customer needs with new and existing products; create new business opportunities; anticipate technology changes; select vendors and products; and identify best marketing strategies and tactics.

In addition to IDG, Rob currently writes for USA Herald, TechNewsWorld, IT Business Edge, TechSpective, TMCnet and TGdaily. Rob trained as a TV anchor and appears regularly on Compass Radio Networks, WOC, CNBC, NPR, and Fox Business.

Before founding the Enderle Group, Rob was the Senior Research Fellow for Forrester Research and the Giga Information Group. While there he worked for and with companies like Microsoft, HP, IBM, Dell, Toshiba, Gateway, Sony, USAA, Texas Instruments, AMD, Intel, Credit Suisse First Boston, GM, Ford, and Siemens.

Before Giga, Rob was with Dataquest covering client/server software, where he became one of the most widely publicized technology analysts in the world and was an anchor for CNET. Before Dataquest, Rob worked in IBM’s executive resource program, where he managed or reviewed projects and people in Finance, Internal Audit, Competitive Analysis, Marketing, Security, and Planning.

Rob holds an AA in Merchandising, a BS in Business, and an MBA, and he sits on the advisory councils for a variety of technology companies.

Rob’s hobbies include sporting clays, PC modding, science fiction, home automation, and computer gaming.

The opinions expressed in this blog are those of Rob Enderle and do not necessarily represent those of IDG Communications, Inc., its parent, subsidiary or affiliated companies.